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{-# LANGUAGE ViewPatterns #-}
module PPL.Sampling where
import Control.Monad.IO.Class
import Control.Monad.Trans.State
import Data.Bifunctor
import Data.Monoid
import Numeric.Log
import PPL.Distr
import PPL.Internal hiding (split)
import System.Random (getStdGen, newStdGen, random, randoms, split)
importance :: MonadIO m => Int -> Meas a -> m [a]
importance n m = do
newStdGen
g <- getStdGen
let ys = take n $ accumulate xs
max = snd $ last ys
xs = samples m $ randomTree g1
(g1, g2) = split g
let rs = randoms g2
pure $ flip map rs $ \r -> fst . head $ flip filter ys $ \(x, w) -> w >= Exp (log r) * max
where
cumsum = tail . scanl (+) 0
accumulate = uncurry zip . second cumsum . unzip
mh :: MonadIO m => Double -> Meas a -> m [(a, Log Double)]
mh p m = do
newStdGen
g <- getStdGen
let (g1, g2) = split g
(x, w) = head $ samples m t
t = randomTree g1
pure $ map (\(_, x, w) -> (x, w)) $ evalState (iterateM step (t, x, w)) g2
where
step (t, x, w) = do
g <- get
let (g1, g2) = split g
t' = mutateTree p g1 t
(x', w') = head $ samples m t'
ratio = w' / w
(Exp . log -> r, g3) = random g2
put g3
pure $
if r < ratio
then (t', x', w')
else (t, x, w)
iterateM f x = do
y <- f x
(y :) <$> iterateM f y
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